07-F-2106 DOC 12 Redacted

Weaknesses of UNMOVIC • UNSC RES 1284 (17 Dec 99) created UN Monitoring, Verification and Inspection Commission (UNMOVIq • UNMOVIC is weaker than UNSCOM ••• . - Lacks staff ei:pertise to baseline/evaluate Iraqi coJDpliance. - Knowledgeable inspectors have left. • ••• and is structured to reduce USG influence: - Chairman and staff chosen based on Iraqi "sensitivities." - Only one U.S. national among its top leadenhip • UNMOVIC will be more acceptable "to the international community" because it has less U.S., British and European lnfluenc~ (We belitWe it will be less effective for the same reason). • Tbe reduced U.S. presence In UNMOVIC may inhibit sharing or some sensitive lntelHeence. USG unwilllng to share intel1lgeoce with untrustworthy organization. • Absence of Inspectors for three years bas allowed Iraq to Increase Its technological capabiUtles, burrow deeper underground, make components of its WMD programs mobile, render existing UNSCOM/IAEA data stale, aod otherwise stiff en the challenge posed to an inspecdons reclml DapS'i!...c Oe..f B I I\ L u +,· ~., a.. c... Le~ r c_/...,, c.. t- o,, Ur.Jmov; c.. 5 we.c. k,cJ.1..s..s. o..s..s .. , 0 . o"" \ 't I,,