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Essential Services

Administrator’s Weekly Report Essential Services

Date
1 July 2004
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Essential Services
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Administrator’s Weekly Report Essential Services March 6-12, 2004 HIGHLIGHTS -- Eleven out of 18 governorates averaged over 16 hours of daily power this week. -- Reconstruction of Al Mat Bridge, a key transportation link on the main highway between Baghdad and Jordan, is complete. -- The average crude oil export for March is 2 million barrels per day. I. Provide Electricity Services that Meet National Needs Improve generating capacity to 6000MW by July 1, 2004; Fully implement policy on allocation of electrical power; Publish draft of long term strategy; Minimize Sabotage and Improve Security The seven-day average (March 6 - 12) of peak electricity production was 4,012 MW, an increase of 1.5 percent over the previous week. On March 12, peak production hit a high for the week at 4,144 MW. Source: Ministry of Electricity, Power Daily, March 5, 2004 The seven-day average (March 6-12) production of electrical energy was 87,064 MWh per day, an increase of 0.9 percent over the previous week. On March 12, the production of electrical energy peaked for the week at 90,670 MW. Source: Ministry of Electricity, Power Daily, March 5, 2004 The following chart presents the daily electric power consumption broken down among the North, Central (including Baghdad), and South regions. During the reporting period, the North consumed an average of 937 MW per day, 25 percent of total power consumption. Per day, the Central region consumed 2,229 MW, 60 percent of the total, and the South consumed 580 MW, 15 percent of total electricity consumption during the past week. Source: Ministry of Electricity, Power Daily, March 5, 2004 As of 12 March, 646 MW (18 generators) of generating capacity was on forced (unplanned) outage, and 1,256 MW (20 generators) was on scheduled outage. As of March 12, eight (400 kV) transmission lines and seven (132 kV) transmission lines were out of service. SHAPE \* MERGEFORMAT LEGEND: GREEN Greater than 16 hours of average daily power AMBER 8 to 16 hours of average daily power RED Less than 8 hours of average daily power WHITE No report The following table shows the estimated peak industrial power allocation by governorate from the previous week. NORTH Peak allocation SOuth Peak allocation South Central Peak allocation Dahuk N/A Basra 37.0 MW Anbar 34.0 MW Ninawa 64.5 MW Dhi Qar 10.0 MW Babil 19.3 MW Arbil N/A Maysan 7.0 MW Karbala 19.5 MW Tamim 19.0 MW Muthanna 23.0 MW Najaf 15.0 MW Diyala 4.0 MW Qadisiyah 11.5 MW Sulaymaniyah N/A BAGHDAD Wasit 0 MW Salah Ad Din 9.0 MW Baghdad 51.8 MW II. Reconstruct Communications and Postal Systems Build Iraq’s first responder network; Establish independent regulatory agency; Upgrade Iraqi Telephone and Postal Company (ITPC) network for interoperability; Build transmission component data network for Iraq, including international gateways; Restructure ITPC and its business operations; Upgrade and modernize postal systems; Upgrade ITPC outside plant for increased subscriber capacity and use The Iraqi Telephone and Postal Company (ITPC) focused its efforts on fixing the outside plant (the lines running from the house to the switch box) this week. The ITPC did not connect substantial numbers of new subscribers this week because of shortages in jumper cables used to connect new subscribers. Since May 2003, CPA has reinstated telephone service for 122,980 subscribers. The following paragraphs delineate the number of landline and cell phone subscribers in Iraq, and compare them to pre-war estimates. The chart below shows the number of active subscribers in April 2003, the current number of active subscribers, the number of subscribers reinstated post-conflict (since May 2003), and the number of formerly active subscribers who remain without service (excluding the three Northern governorates). Source: CPA Senior Advisor to the Minister of Communications Iraqi Telephone and Postal Company [ITPC] The three cell phone companies in Iraq continue to sign up new subscribers. Currently, in Mosul, Sulaymaniyah, and Kirkuk there are 138,645 subscribers. In Baghdad, there are 100,000 subscribers; and in Basra, Al Kut, Amarah, Samawah, and Nasiriyah there are 40,000 subscribers. In April 2003, the Iraqi telephone system was capable of providing service to 1.1 million customers, but there were only 833,000 active subscribers (excluding the three Northern governorates). Currently there are 705,580 active telephone subscribers in Iraq. The total number of telephone subscribers in Iraq, including the 278,645 cell phone subscribers, equals 984,225, which is 18 percent greater than the number of active subscribers pre-war. The penetration rate (the number of active landline telephone subscribers as a percentage of the population) is 2.7 percent (using an estimated population of 25.9 million). The teledensity rate in Iraq (all subscribers with a telephone) is 3.8 percent of the population. The following chart shows the percentage of operational telephone subscribers compared to the number of active subscribers in April 2003. Source: CPA Senior Advisor to the Minister of Communications Iraqi Telephone and Postal Company [ITPC] CPA has repaired 18 telephone switches since May 2003 with full supporting service (office space, power, fiber transmission connections to other switches, security). Four switches are still inoperable (out of 203 total). The following chart shows the number of operational, inoperable, and repaired telephone switches in Iraq (excluding the three Northern governorates). Source: CPA Senior Advisor to the Minister of Communications Iraqi Telephone and Postal Company [ITPC] The following chart shows the number of post offices operational compared to the total number of post offices that exist in Iraq. Currently, there are 251 out of 336 Post Offices open in Iraq, yielding a 75 percent operating rate. Source: CPA Senior Advisor to the Minister of Communications Iraqi Telephone and Postal Company [ITPC] The following chart shows the total mail volume for the first two months of the year by Region. Source: CPA Senior Advisor to the Minister of Communications Iraqi Telephone and Postal Company [ITPC] III. Improve Quality and Access to Housing Increase financing, housing supply, and private ownership; Establish and train Ministry; Repair roads and bridges According to a United Nations estimate, Iraq requires 1.4 million more housing units in order to meet internationally accepted housing standards. CPA currently has contracts to build 3,528 units. A Polish construction company will begin construction of a housing project in Basra (504 units) next week. The Ministry of Housing and Construction is working to create a mortgage financing company with adequate funding to begin to develop private sector housing markets. CPA completed the reconstruction of Al Furat Bridge in Baghdad and reopened it last week. Reconstruction of Al Mat Bridge, a key transportation link on the main highway between Baghdad and Jordan, is complete. All four lanes opened last week. The bridge, located on Highway 10 approximately 300 km (186 miles) west of Baghdad and 180 km (112 miles) from the Jordanian border, is used by more than 3,000 trucks daily bringing reconstruction and humanitarian aid and goods to Iraq from Jordan. To accommodate traffic on this vital route, USAID partner Bechtel constructed a bypass around the damaged bridge in July 2003, allowing repairs to begin. The south span of the bridge opened in mid-February and the bypass was taken down shortly thereafter. The recent opening of the north span completes all reconstruction work on the bridge. IV. Provide Food Security for all Iraqis Enhance capacity of Ministry of Agriculture; Assure supply of inputs; Strengthen research system; Ensure adequate stocks for Public Distribution System (PDS); Monitor food security; Hand over administration of system in the North; Initiate reform of rations basket; Environmental Initiatives The following chart shows the percentage of estimated requirements on hand of stocks for the 12 public distribution goods that Iraqis receive under the PDS until the end of May. The percentage of estimated requirements is broken down into opening stocks (amount on hand), scheduled arrivals under existing contracts from the Oil for Food Program, scheduled arrivals of goods from contracts arranged by the Ministry of Trade (MOT), and scheduled arrivals of goods from new contracts arranged by the World Food Program (WFP). The PDS stocks in the following chart are calculated as a percentage of three months’ (March - May) estimated demand, plus a one-month buffer stock (CPA goal by May). Having 100 percent of each commodity will ensure that the food rations are available through May, including at least a one-month buffer stock for each commodity. Source: CPA Food Security Team CPA projects that no shortages will occur in the April and May rations given the new procurements of food basket commodities by both WFP and MOT, including accelerated delivery schedules for the commodities where stocks have been low. However, MOT faces problems in providing updated, accurate PDS information on a weekly basis. These problems stem from difficult communications links between the governorates and Baghdad, as well as the need to upgrade inventory control procedures. CPA is working on these challenges as part of its handover strategy. The following chart shows the current PDS stocks and scheduled arrivals as a percentage of total requirements from February until transition on July 1. In addition to the monthly requirements from February through June, requirements for the transition include having the entire month of July on hand, plus an additional three-month buffer stock on hand at the time of transition. Thus, on the chart below, CPA’s goal is 100 percent in each commodity category by July 1. Future procurement plans by WFP and MOT will ensure that these goals are achieved. Source: CPA Food Security Team V. Improve Quality and Access to Education Reorganize and staff the Ministry of Education; Rehabilitate school buildings and build new schools; Advance national dialogue on curriculum reform; Continue and expand teacher training Minister of Education Dr. Ala’din Alwan held a press conference for Arab and international press on March 7, to review the six-month march toward education reform that has occurred since September 2003 and a four-year plan for future reforms. The Minister released the Ministry’s situation analysis (in Arabic and English), published earlier this month. More than 25 print and electronic media representatives attended. Ministry of Education curriculum specialists will meet with UNESCO experts in a workshop on curriculum reform. A team of Ministry of Education employees is in Amman for a World Bank workshop on textbook procurement, school rehabilitation, contracting, finance and administration, and project management. The Ministry developed a committee charged with redesigning the Ministry’s Teacher Training Institute, composed of teachers, training institute staff, and curriculum specialists. Source: USAID In addition to the 2,350 schools rehabilitated by USAID, CPA also refurbished 105 schools with Overseas Humanitarian, Disaster and Civic Aid [OHDACA] funds (35 Baghdad, 4 Salah Ad Din, 13 Ninawa, others are not specified). CJTF-7 also provided support to numerous schools with CERP funds. 11,939 schools require repairs, and an additional 4,500 new schools are necessary to meet the facility needs of today’s Iraqi children. U.S. Supplemental funds will rehabilitate at least 1,047 schools, and the World Bank is close to committing to rehabilitate another 1,000 schools. VI. Improve Water Resources Management Prepare for sovereignty; Build ministry capacity; Infrastructure improvements; Facilities improvements At the Iraqi-Turkish meetings in Ankara last week, the Turkish delegation agreed to provide seasonal data on snowfall and reservoir levels sufficient for Iraq to develop its water plan for this year. Both sides recognized the benefit of discussions about available water resources and how they may be most efficiently used. The following chart shows the observed reservoir storage levels against the normal monthly reservoir storage levels for the end of February and the end of March. Adhaim, Dokan, and Derbendikhan, on the Tigris river, and Habbaniyah, on the Euphrates river, are below monthly averages because of excessive releases in order to generate hydroelectric power. Source: Ministry of Water Resources PAGE PAGE 10 Prepared by the Information Management Unit Prepared by the Information Management Unit Dahuk 88 MW 12 Hrs Baghdad 1194 MW 17 Hrs Arbil 16 Hrs Sulaymaniyah 16 Hrs Maysan 66 MW 19 Hrs Dhi Qar 87 MW 19 Hrs Muthanna 50 MW 16 Hrs Wasit 87 MW 10 Hrs Basra 238 MW 24 Hrs Qadisiyah 55 MW 14 Hrs An Najaf 88 MW 13 Hrs Karbala 81 MW 20 Hrs Diyala 104 MW 16 Hrs Salah Ad Din 219 MW 16 Hrs Tamim 151 MW 16 Hrs Ninawa 381 MW 13 Hrs Babil 107 MW 14 Hrs Anbar 180 MW 14 Hrs Average Daily Electrical Power Distribution per Governorate as of March 12, 2004 Note: Improved Hours of Residential Service because of abnormally mild temperatures. Hours of Residential Service will temporarily decrease as more units are taken out of service for maintenance and temperatures increase.